Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Carlos Condit
Dong Hyun Kim
59%
41%
Why
76"
Reach
Δ 0"
76"
27
Age
Δ 2y
30
33-14
Career record
Δ 12 pp
23-4-1
W2
Current streak
W2
2
UFC fights in our DB
2
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Condit: 8 sig / 0 TD ·
Kim: 1 sig / 1 TD
Carlos Condit
Dong Hyun Kim
23
Sig strikes landed
23
64
Sig strikes attempted
51
43
Total strikes landed
40
0.4
Takedowns landed
2.4
1.0
Takedowns attempted
5.1
0.30
Knockdowns
0.00
91s
Control time
247s
Method
Decision
58%
KO/TKO
17%
Submission
24%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W2
Carlos Condit
"The Natural Born Killer"
33-14
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27
In our database
2 fights · 2-0
Last 2
W
UFC 120: Bisping vs Akiyama
—
W
UFC 115: Liddell vs Franklin
—
Blue corner
W2
Dong Hyun Kim
"Stun Gun"
23-4-1
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
76"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
30
In our database
2 fights · 2-0
Last 2
W
UFC 125: Resolution
—
W
UFC 114: Rampage vs Evans
—