Back to UFC 132: Cruz vs Faber
Prelims2 Bantamweight

Brian Bowles vs Takeya Mizugaki

UFC 132: Cruz vs Faber ·MGM Grand Garden Arena
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Statlab take

baseline
Edge Confidence: High
Brian Bowles
Takeya Mizugaki
42% 58%
Why
70"
Reach
Δ 1"
70"
31
Age
Δ 4y
28
11-3
Career record
Δ 16 pp
22-11-2
W1
Current streak
W1
1
UFC fights in our DB
1

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Bowles: 29 sig / 1 TD · Mizugaki: 14 sig / 0 TD
Brian Bowles
Takeya Mizugaki
25
Sig strikes landed
31
71
Sig strikes attempted
68
44
Total strikes landed
50
1.0
Takedowns landed
1.2
3.6
Takedowns attempted
2.8
0.00
Knockdowns
0.40
111s
Control time
151s
Method
Decision
71%
KO/TKO
12%
Submission
17%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
W1

Brian Bowles

11-3
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
In our database 1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W UFC Live: Sanchez vs Kampmann
—
Blue corner
W1

Takeya Mizugaki

22-11-2
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
70"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
In our database 1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W UFC Live: Sanchez vs Kampmann
—