Prelims1
Lightweight
George Sotiropoulos vs Rafael Dos Anjos
UFC 132: Cruz vs Faber
·MGM Grand Garden Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
George Sotiropoulos
Rafael Dos Anjos
27%
73%
Why
71"
Reach
Δ 1"
70"
34
Age
Δ 7y
27
14-8
Career record
Δ 0 pp
32-18
L1
Current streak
L1
4
UFC fights in our DB
3
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Sotiropoulos: 2 sig / 0 TD ·
Dos Anjos: 2 sig / 0 TD
George Sotiropoulos
Rafael Dos Anjos
21
Sig strikes landed
34
69
Sig strikes attempted
87
38
Total strikes landed
56
0.8
Takedowns landed
1.5
3.6
Takedowns attempted
4.4
0.00
Knockdowns
0.60
117s
Control time
160s
Method
Decision
52%
KO/TKO
33%
Submission
14%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
George Sotiropoulos
14-8
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
34
In our database
4 fights · 3-1
Last 4
L
UFC 127: Penn vs Fitch
—
W
UFC 123: Rampage vs Machida
—
W
UFC 116: Lesnar vs Carwin
—
W
UFC 110: Nogueira vs Velasquez
—
Blue corner
L1
Rafael Dos Anjos
32-18
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
70"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
27
In our database
3 fights · 2-1
Last 3
L
UFC 117: Silva vs Sonnen
—
W
UFC 112: Invincible
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Maynard vs Diaz
—