Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Dennis Siver
Matt Wiman
62%
38%
Why
70"
Reach
Δ 2"
68"
32
Age
Δ 5y
28
24-11
Career record
Δ 6 pp
17-10
W3
Current streak
W2
4
UFC fights in our DB
2
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Siver: 31 sig / 1 TD ·
Wiman: 26 sig / 5 TD
Dennis Siver
Matt Wiman
48
Sig strikes landed
47
123
Sig strikes attempted
132
65
Total strikes landed
60
0.5
Takedowns landed
1.2
1.0
Takedowns attempted
5.2
0.40
Knockdowns
0.10
69s
Control time
141s
Method
Decision
61%
KO/TKO
30%
Submission
9%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W3
Dennis Siver
24-11
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
70"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33
In our database
4 fights · 3-1
Last 4
W
UFC 127: Penn vs Fitch
—
W
UFC 122: Marquardt vs Okami
—
W
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Lidd…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Florian vs Gomi
—
Blue corner
W2
Matt Wiman
17-10
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
68"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
In our database
2 fights · 2-0
Last 2
W
UFC Fight Night: Fight for the …
—
W
UFC 115: Liddell vs Franklin
—