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Main Welterweight

Chuck O'Neil vs Chris Cope

The Ultimate Fighter: Team Lesnar vs Team dos Santos Finale ·Pearl Concert Theater
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Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Chuck O'Neil
Chris Cope
87% 13%
Why
26
Age
Δ 2y
28

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
O'Neil: 47 sig / 0 TD · Cope: 66 sig / 0 TD
Chuck O'Neil
Chris Cope
46
Sig strikes landed
44
114
Sig strikes attempted
102
64
Total strikes landed
53
1.1
Takedowns landed
0.7
2.1
Takedowns attempted
2.1
0.30
Knockdowns
0.20
153s
Control time
95s
Method
Decision
43%
KO/TKO
42%
Submission
16%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner

Chuck O'Neil

"Cold Steel"
0-0
Career record
Height
74"
Age
26
Blue corner

Chris Cope

"C-Murder"
0-0
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28