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Scott Jorgensen vs Ken Stone

The Ultimate Fighter: Team Lesnar vs Team dos Santos Finale ·Pearl Concert Theater
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Statlab take

baseline
Lean Confidence: High
Scott Jorgensen
Ken Stone
44% 56%
Why
66"
Reach
Δ 5"
71"
29
Age
29

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Jorgensen: 15 sig / 1 TD · Stone: 18 sig / 0 TD
Scott Jorgensen
Ken Stone
33
Sig strikes landed
37
64
Sig strikes attempted
78
49
Total strikes landed
51
1.3
Takedowns landed
0.7
2.4
Takedowns attempted
2.0
0.30
Knockdowns
0.20
150s
Control time
120s
Method
Decision
43%
KO/TKO
37%
Submission
20%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner

Scott Jorgensen

"Young Guns"
0-0
Career record
Height
65"
Reach
66"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
Blue corner

Ken Stone

0-0
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
71"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
29