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Clay Guida vs Anthony Pettis

The Ultimate Fighter: Team Lesnar vs Team dos Santos Finale ·Pearl Concert Theater
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Statlab take

baseline
Lean Confidence: High
Clay Guida
Anthony Pettis
54% 46%
Why
70"
Reach
Δ 2"
72"
30
Age
Δ 5y
24
W3
Current streak
—
3
UFC fights in our DB
0

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Guida: 19 sig / 5 TD · Pettis: 14 sig / 0 TD
Clay Guida
Anthony Pettis
24
Sig strikes landed
30
67
Sig strikes attempted
67
48
Total strikes landed
45
3.0
Takedowns landed
0.2
6.6
Takedowns attempted
0.8
0.10
Knockdowns
0.30
336s
Control time
44s
Method
Decision
46%
KO/TKO
22%
Submission
32%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
W3

Clay Guida

"The Carpenter"
39-22
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
70"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database 3 fights · 3-0
Last 3
W UFC 125: Resolution
—
W UFC 117: Silva vs Sonnen
—
W UFC Live: Vera vs Jones
—
Blue corner

Anthony Pettis

"Showtime"
0-0
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
24