Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Nick Ring
James Head
60%
40%
Why
74"
Reach
Δ 1"
73"
32
Age
Δ 5y
27
W1
Current streak
—
1
UFC fights in our DB
0
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Submission · Round 3
Ring: 58 sig / 5 TD ·
Head: 30 sig / 0 TD
Nick Ring
James Head
41
Sig strikes landed
39
99
Sig strikes attempted
92
53
Total strikes landed
46
1.1
Takedowns landed
0.9
2.4
Takedowns attempted
1.9
0.30
Knockdowns
0.30
98s
Control time
90s
Method
Decision
56%
KO/TKO
34%
Submission
10%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Nick Ring
"The Promise"
15-4
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
74"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
32
In our database
1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W
UFC 127: Penn vs Fitch
—
Blue corner
James Head
0-0
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27