Prelims2
Light Heavyweight
Mike Massenzio vs Krzysztof Soszynski
UFC 131: Dos Santos vs Carwin
·Rogers Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Mike Massenzio
Krzysztof Soszynski
37%
63%
Why
74"
Reach
Δ 4"
78"
29
Age
Δ 5y
34
13-10
Career record
Δ 11 pp
27-12-1
L1
Current streak
W1
1
UFC fights in our DB
3
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Massenzio: 17 sig / 2 TD ·
Soszynski: 66 sig / 0 TD
Mike Massenzio
Krzysztof Soszynski
26
Sig strikes landed
36
56
Sig strikes attempted
76
44
Total strikes landed
63
2.1
Takedowns landed
0.9
5.2
Takedowns attempted
1.9
0.00
Knockdowns
0.30
240s
Control time
116s
Method
Decision
43%
KO/TKO
34%
Submission
23%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Mike Massenzio
"The Master of Disaster"
13-10
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
74"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
29
In our database
1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L
UFC Live: Jones vs Matyushenko
—
Blue corner
W1
Krzysztof Soszynski
"The Polish Experiment"
27-12-1
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
78"
Stance
Open Stance
Age
34
In our database
3 fights · 2-1
Last 3
W
UFC 122: Marquardt vs Okami
—
L
UFC 116: Lesnar vs Carwin
—
W
UFC 110: Nogueira vs Velasquez
—