Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Damion Douglas
Wayne Phillips
83%
17%
Why
29
Age
Δ 1y
28
—
Current streak
W2
0
UFC fights in our DB
2
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Split · Round 3
Damion Douglas
Wayne Phillips
38
Sig strikes landed
37
95
Sig strikes attempted
100
41
Total strikes landed
45
0.9
Takedowns landed
0.7
1.7
Takedowns attempted
1.2
0.10
Knockdowns
0.30
155s
Control time
106s
Method
Decision
32%
KO/TKO
49%
Submission
19%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
Damion Douglas
0-0
Career record
Age
29
Blue corner
W2
Wayne Phillips
8-7
Career record
Age
28
In our database
2 fights · 2-0
Last 2
W
Strikeforce - Henderson vs. Bab…
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W
Strikeforce Challengers 6
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