Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Conor Heun
Magno Almeida
65%
35%
Why
32
Age
Δ 6y
26
L1
Current streak
—
1
UFC fights in our DB
0
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Heun: 39 sig / 3 TD ·
Almeida: 25 sig / 0 TD
Conor Heun
Magno Almeida
53
Sig strikes landed
56
139
Sig strikes attempted
141
74
Total strikes landed
85
1.6
Takedowns landed
1.3
3.5
Takedowns attempted
1.7
0.10
Knockdowns
0.50
172s
Control time
138s
Method
Decision
54%
KO/TKO
32%
Submission
14%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Conor Heun
"Hurricane"
9-6
Career record
Height
70"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database
1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L
Strikeforce - Los Angeles
—
Blue corner
Magno Almeida
0-0
Career record
Height
72"
Age
26