Back to Strikeforce - Overeem vs. Werdum
Catch Weight

Nah-Shon Burrell vs Joe Ray

Strikeforce - Overeem vs. Werdum ·American Airlines Center
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Statlab take

baseline
Clear edge Confidence: High
Nah-Shon Burrell
Joe Ray
63% 37%
Why
21
Age
Δ 5y
26
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Current streak
W1
0
UFC fights in our DB
1

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Nah-Shon Burrell
Joe Ray
38
Sig strikes landed
47
97
Sig strikes attempted
100
46
Total strikes landed
92
0.6
Takedowns landed
2.3
1.0
Takedowns attempted
3.9
0.30
Knockdowns
0.20
94s
Control time
219s
Method
Decision
26%
KO/TKO
20%
Submission
54%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner

Nah-Shon Burrell

"The Rock n Rolla"
0-0
Career record
Height
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
21
Blue corner
W1

Joe Ray

14-0
Career record
Age
27
In our database 1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W Strikeforce - Miami
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