Back to Strikeforce - Overeem vs. Werdum
Heavyweight

Jeff Monson vs Daniel Cormier

Strikeforce - Overeem vs. Werdum ·American Airlines Center
Previous fight Next fight

Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Jeff Monson
Daniel Cormier
78% 22%
Why
74"
Reach
Δ 2"
72"
40
Age
Δ 8y
32
—
Current streak
W3
0
UFC fights in our DB
3

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Monson: 15 sig / 0 TD · Cormier: 86 sig / 0 TD
Jeff Monson
Daniel Cormier
14
Sig strikes landed
30
40
Sig strikes attempted
77
24
Total strikes landed
44
1.1
Takedowns landed
1.2
1.1
Takedowns attempted
1.1
0.30
Knockdowns
0.50
96s
Control time
164s
Method
Decision
22%
KO/TKO
59%
Submission
18%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner

Jeff Monson

"The Snowman"
0-0
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
40
Blue corner
W3

Daniel Cormier

"DC"
23-3 (1 NC)
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database 3 fights · 3-0
Last 3
W Strikeforce Challengers 13
—
W Strikeforce - Houston
—
W Strikeforce Challengers 7
—