Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Rolando Perez
Edgar Cardenas
64%
36%
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Rolando Perez
Edgar Cardenas
43
Sig strikes landed
41
92
Sig strikes attempted
95
56
Total strikes landed
56
0.6
Takedowns landed
3.8
0.9
Takedowns attempted
4.7
0.30
Knockdowns
0.30
103s
Control time
223s
Method
Decision
34%
KO/TKO
28%
Submission
38%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
Rolando Perez
0-0
Career record
Height
68"
Stance
Orthodox
Blue corner
Edgar Cardenas
"Kitty Katt"
0-0
Career record