Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Virgil Zwicker
Brett Albee
81%
19%
Why
L1
Current streak
—
1
UFC fights in our DB
0
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Virgil Zwicker
Brett Albee
24
Sig strikes landed
46
71
Sig strikes attempted
77
40
Total strikes landed
49
1.4
Takedowns landed
3.5
1.0
Takedowns attempted
6.1
0.70
Knockdowns
0.30
94s
Control time
154s
Method
Decision
15%
KO/TKO
44%
Submission
42%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Virgil Zwicker
"RezDog"
15-7-1
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
74"
Age
29
In our database
1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L
Strikeforce Challengers 11
—
Blue corner
Brett Albee
0-0
Career record