Prelims1
Middleweight
Kendall Grove vs Tim Boetsch
UFC 130: Rampage vs Hamill
·MGM Grand Garden Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Kendall Grove
Tim Boetsch
54%
46%
Why
79"
Reach
Δ 5"
74"
28
Age
Δ 2y
30
23-18
Career record
Δ 4 pp
21-14
L1
Current streak
L1
3
UFC fights in our DB
2
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Grove: 20 sig / 1 TD ·
Boetsch: 17 sig / 7 TD
Kendall Grove
Tim Boetsch
30
Sig strikes landed
31
73
Sig strikes attempted
84
49
Total strikes landed
50
0.8
Takedowns landed
2.0
2.7
Takedowns attempted
4.4
0.20
Knockdowns
0.30
91s
Control time
161s
Method
Decision
62%
KO/TKO
26%
Submission
11%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Kendall Grove
"Da Spyder"
23-18
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
78"
Reach
79"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
In our database
3 fights · 1-2
Last 3
L
The Ultimate Fighter: Team GSP …
—
W
UFC 116: Lesnar vs Carwin
—
L
UFC 112: Invincible
—
Blue corner
L1
Tim Boetsch
"The Barbarian"
21-14
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database
2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
L
UFC 123: Rampage vs Machida
—
W
UFC 117: Silva vs Sonnen
—