Back to UFC 130: Rampage vs Hamill
Prelims1 Bantamweight

Miguel Torres vs Demetrious Johnson

UFC 130: Rampage vs Hamill ·MGM Grand Garden Arena
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Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Miguel Torres
Demetrious Johnson
75% 25%
Why
76"
Reach
Δ 10"
66"
30
Age
Δ 6y
25
45-9
Career record
Δ 4 pp
28-3-1
W1
Current streak
W1
1
UFC fights in our DB
1

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Torres: 10 sig / 0 TD · Johnson: 13 sig / 5 TD
Miguel Torres
Demetrious Johnson
43
Sig strikes landed
51
126
Sig strikes attempted
116
45
Total strikes landed
62
0.7
Takedowns landed
2.3
0.9
Takedowns attempted
7.6
0.40
Knockdowns
0.20
74s
Control time
189s
Method
Decision
46%
KO/TKO
32%
Submission
22%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
W1

Miguel Torres

45-9
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database 1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W UFC 126: Silva vs Belfort
—
Blue corner
W1

Demetrious Johnson

"Mighty Mouse"
28-3-1
Career record
Height
63"
Reach
66"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
25
In our database 1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W UFC 126: Silva vs Belfort
—