Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Brian Stann
Jorge Santiago
41%
59%
Why
74"
Reach
Δ 1"
75"
31
Age
Δ 0y
31
W2
Current streak
—
3
UFC fights in our DB
0
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 2
Stann: 47 sig / 0 TD ·
Santiago: 14 sig / 0 TD
Brian Stann
Jorge Santiago
27
Sig strikes landed
30
63
Sig strikes attempted
67
40
Total strikes landed
47
0.9
Takedowns landed
0.8
2.8
Takedowns attempted
1.8
0.40
Knockdowns
0.30
143s
Control time
105s
Method
Decision
38%
KO/TKO
48%
Submission
14%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W2
Brian Stann
"All American"
13-6
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
In our database
3 fights · 2-1
Last 3
W
UFC 125: Resolution
—
W
UFC Live: Jones vs Matyushenko
—
L
UFC 109: Relentless
—
Blue corner
Jorge Santiago
"The Sandman"
0-0
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
75"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31