Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Stefan Struve
Travis Browne
80%
20%
Why
84"
Reach
Δ 6"
79"
23
Age
Δ 6y
29
34-13
Career record
Δ 6 pp
18-7-2
W2
Current streak
D1
3
UFC fights in our DB
2
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Struve: 10 sig / 0 TD ·
Browne: 17 sig / 1 TD
Stefan Struve
Travis Browne
21
Sig strikes landed
16
43
Sig strikes attempted
33
30
Total strikes landed
25
0.0
Takedowns landed
0.9
0.3
Takedowns attempted
2.6
0.20
Knockdowns
0.20
25s
Control time
149s
Method
Decision
12%
KO/TKO
73%
Submission
14%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W2
Stefan Struve
"Skyscraper"
34-13
Career record
Height
83"
Reach
85"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
23
In our database
3 fights · 2-1
Last 3
W
UFC 124: St-Pierre vs Koscheck 2
—
W
UFC 117: Silva vs Sonnen
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Florian vs Gomi
—
Blue corner
D1
Travis Browne
"Hapa"
18-7-2
Career record
Height
78"
Reach
79"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
In our database
2 fights · 1-0
Last 2
D
UFC 120: Bisping vs Akiyama
—
W
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Lidd…
—