Back to Strikeforce - Feijao vs. Henderson
Middleweight

Tim Kennedy vs Melvin Manhoef

Strikeforce - Feijao vs. Henderson ·Nationwide Arena
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Statlab take

baseline
Edge Confidence: High
Tim Kennedy
Melvin Manhoef
58% 42%
Why
32
Age
Δ 3y
35
18-7
Career record
Δ 7 pp
30-15-1
L1
Current streak
L1
2
UFC fights in our DB
1

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Submission · Round 1
Kennedy: 13 sig / 1 TD · Manhoef: 2 sig / 0 TD
Tim Kennedy
Melvin Manhoef
35
Sig strikes landed
33
75
Sig strikes attempted
66
58
Total strikes landed
46
2.6
Takedowns landed
0.7
4.4
Takedowns attempted
2.2
0.10
Knockdowns
0.40
178s
Control time
75s
Method
Decision
57%
KO/TKO
30%
Submission
14%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L1

Tim Kennedy

18-7
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database 2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
L Strikeforce - Houston
—
W Strikeforce - Los Angeles
—
Blue corner
L1

Melvin Manhoef

"No Mercy"
30-15-1 (2 NC)
Career record
Height
69"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
35
In our database 1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L Strikeforce - Miami
—