Back to Strikeforce - Feijao vs. Henderson
Women's Bantamweight

Marloes Coenen vs Liz Carmouche

Strikeforce - Feijao vs. Henderson ·Nationwide Arena
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Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Marloes Coenen
Liz Carmouche
87% 13%
Why
68"
Reach
Δ 2"
66"
30
Age
Δ 3y
27
24-8
Career record
Δ 8 pp
14-7
W1
Current streak
W2
2
UFC fights in our DB
2

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Submission · Round 4
Coenen: 32 sig / 0 TD · Carmouche: 45 sig / 2 TD
Marloes Coenen
Liz Carmouche
39
Sig strikes landed
44
102
Sig strikes attempted
95
54
Total strikes landed
58
2.2
Takedowns landed
0.8
3.5
Takedowns attempted
1.5
0.00
Knockdowns
0.40
177s
Control time
55s
Method
Decision
50%
KO/TKO
21%
Submission
29%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
W1

Marloes Coenen

24-8
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
68"
Age
30
In our database 2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
W Strikeforce - Diaz vs. Noons 2
—
L Strikeforce - Miami
—
Blue corner
W2

Liz Carmouche

"Girlrilla"
14-7
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
66"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27
In our database 2 fights · 2-0
Last 2
W Strikeforce Challengers 12
—
W Strikeforce Challengers 10
—