Back to Strikeforce - Feijao vs. Henderson
Light Heavyweight

Rafael Cavalcante vs Dan Henderson

Strikeforce - Feijao vs. Henderson ·Nationwide Arena
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Statlab take

baseline
Lean Confidence: High
Rafael Cavalcante
Dan Henderson
44% 56%
Why
74"
Reach
74"
31
Age
Δ 10y
40
13-7
Career record
Δ 4 pp
33-15
W2
Current streak
W1
2
UFC fights in our DB
2

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 3
Cavalcante: 11 sig / 0 TD · Henderson: 24 sig / 3 TD
Rafael Cavalcante
Dan Henderson
28
Sig strikes landed
20
59
Sig strikes attempted
52
37
Total strikes landed
32
0.6
Takedowns landed
0.8
1.4
Takedowns attempted
2.4
0.40
Knockdowns
0.20
61s
Control time
98s
Method
Decision
22%
KO/TKO
65%
Submission
12%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
W2

Rafael Cavalcante

"Feijao"
13-7 (1 NC)
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
In our database 2 fights · 2-0
Last 2
W Strikeforce - Houston
—
W Strikeforce - Heavy Artillery
—
Blue corner
W1

Dan Henderson

"Hendo"
33-15
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
41
In our database 2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
W Strikeforce - Henderson vs. Bab…
—
L Strikeforce - Nashville
—