Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Mark Bocek
Benson Henderson
34%
66%
Why
75"
Reach
Δ 5"
70"
30
Age
Δ 2y
28
W1
Current streak
—
2
UFC fights in our DB
0
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Bocek: 11 sig / 4 TD ·
Henderson: 56 sig / 3 TD
Mark Bocek
Benson Henderson
24
Sig strikes landed
32
57
Sig strikes attempted
58
51
Total strikes landed
50
2.6
Takedowns landed
0.9
6.1
Takedowns attempted
1.1
0.00
Knockdowns
0.30
255s
Control time
121s
Method
Decision
48%
KO/TKO
19%
Submission
33%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Mark Bocek
13-5
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
75"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database
2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
W
UFC 124: St-Pierre vs Koscheck 2
—
L
UFC 111: St-Pierre vs Hardy
—
Blue corner
Benson Henderson
"Smooth"
0-0
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
70"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
28