Back to UFC Fight Night: Nogueira vs Davis
Featherweight

Chan Sung Jung vs Leonard Garcia

UFC Fight Night: Nogueira vs Davis ·Climate Pledge Arena
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Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Chan Sung Jung
Leonard Garcia
79% 21%
Why
72"
Reach
Δ 4"
68"
24
Age
Δ 8y
32
—
Current streak
W1
0
UFC fights in our DB
1

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Submission · Round 2
Jung: 30 sig / 1 TD · Garcia: 15 sig / 0 TD
Chan Sung Jung
Leonard Garcia
52
Sig strikes landed
52
152
Sig strikes attempted
161
65
Total strikes landed
69
1.6
Takedowns landed
0.7
3.0
Takedowns attempted
2.4
0.40
Knockdowns
0.20
157s
Control time
87s
Method
Decision
64%
KO/TKO
24%
Submission
12%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner

Chan Sung Jung

"The Korean Zombie"
0-0
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
24
Blue corner
W1

Leonard Garcia

"Bad Boy"
19-13-1
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
68"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
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