Welterweight
DaMarques Johnson vs Amir Sadollah
UFC Fight Night: Nogueira vs Davis
·Climate Pledge Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
DaMarques Johnson
Amir Sadollah
58%
42%
Why
75"
Reach
75"
29
Age
Δ 2y
31
16-15
Career record
Δ 7 pp
7-5
W1
Current streak
W1
3
UFC fights in our DB
3
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 2
Johnson: 27 sig / 2 TD ·
Sadollah: 62 sig / 2 TD
DaMarques Johnson
Amir Sadollah
38
Sig strikes landed
41
93
Sig strikes attempted
82
55
Total strikes landed
43
1.8
Takedowns landed
0.6
3.7
Takedowns attempted
1.8
0.20
Knockdowns
0.20
146s
Control time
52s
Method
Decision
60%
KO/TKO
26%
Submission
14%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
DaMarques Johnson
"Darkness"
16-15
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
75"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
In our database
3 fights · 2-1
Last 3
W
UFC Fight Night: Fight for the …
—
L
UFC Live: Jones vs Matyushenko
—
W
UFC 112: Invincible
—
Blue corner
W1
Amir Sadollah
7-5
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
75"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
In our database
3 fights · 2-1
Last 3
W
UFC 122: Marquardt vs Okami
—
L
UFC 114: Rampage vs Evans
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Maynard vs Diaz
—