Prelims1
Light Heavyweight
Steve Cantwell vs Cyrille Diabate
UFC Live: Sanchez vs Kampmann
·KFC Yum! Center
Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Steve Cantwell
Cyrille Diabate
55%
45%
Why
75"
Reach
Δ 6"
81"
24
Age
Δ 13y
37
—
Current streak
L1
0
UFC fights in our DB
2
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Cantwell: 28 sig / 1 TD ·
Diabate: 146 sig / 1 TD
Steve Cantwell
Cyrille Diabate
22
Sig strikes landed
54
41
Sig strikes attempted
79
24
Total strikes landed
66
0.8
Takedowns landed
0.5
0.8
Takedowns attempted
1.0
0.30
Knockdowns
0.40
93s
Control time
92s
Method
Decision
13%
KO/TKO
72%
Submission
15%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
Steve Cantwell
"The Robot"
0-0
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
75"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
24
Blue corner
L1
Cyrille Diabate
"The Snake"
19-11-1
Career record
Height
78"
Reach
81"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
37
In our database
2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
L
UFC 120: Bisping vs Akiyama
—
W
UFC 114: Rampage vs Evans
—