Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Rob Kimmons
Dongi Yang
67%
33%
Why
73"
Reach
73"
30
Age
Δ 4y
26
25-10
Career record
Δ 5 pp
13-4
L1
Current streak
L1
2
UFC fights in our DB
1
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 2
Kimmons: 1 sig / 1 TD ·
Yang: 57 sig / 1 TD
Rob Kimmons
Dongi Yang
31
Sig strikes landed
31
63
Sig strikes attempted
63
55
Total strikes landed
52
1.9
Takedowns landed
2.2
5.8
Takedowns attempted
2.3
0.20
Knockdowns
0.20
183s
Control time
129s
Method
Decision
59%
KO/TKO
24%
Submission
16%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Rob Kimmons
"The Rosedale Reaper"
25-10
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database
2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
L
UFC 122: Marquardt vs Okami
—
W
UFC Live: Jones vs Matyushenko
—
Blue corner
L1
Dongi Yang
"The Ox"
13-4
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
73"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
26
In our database
1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L
UFC 121: Lesnar vs Velasquez
—