Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
CB Dollaway
Mark Munoz
68%
32%
Why
76"
Reach
Δ 5"
71"
28
Age
Δ 6y
33
18-9
Career record
Δ 5 pp
15-6
W2
Current streak
W1
2
UFC fights in our DB
4
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Dollaway: 2 sig / 1 TD ·
Munoz: 4 sig / 0 TD
CB Dollaway
Mark Munoz
27
Sig strikes landed
22
71
Sig strikes attempted
50
44
Total strikes landed
31
1.6
Takedowns landed
0.5
3.6
Takedowns attempted
2.1
0.20
Knockdowns
0.10
148s
Control time
76s
Method
Decision
34%
KO/TKO
40%
Submission
26%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W2
CB Dollaway
"The Doberman"
18-9
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
In our database
2 fights · 2-0
Last 2
W
UFC 119: Mir vs Cro Cop
—
W
UFC 110: Nogueira vs Velasquez
—
Blue corner
W1
Mark Munoz
"The Filipino Wrecking Machine"
15-6
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33
In our database
4 fights · 3-1
Last 4
W
UFC 123: Rampage vs Machida
—
L
UFC Live: Jones vs Matyushenko
—
W
UFC 112: Invincible
—
W
UFC 108: Evans vs Silva
—