Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Anthony Leone
Josh LaBerge
82%
18%
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
TKO - Doctor's Stoppage · Round 1
Leone: 12 sig / 1 TD ·
LaBerge: 16 sig / 0 TD
Anthony Leone
Josh LaBerge
40
Sig strikes landed
42
91
Sig strikes attempted
99
58
Total strikes landed
54
1.6
Takedowns landed
0.9
2.5
Takedowns attempted
1.9
0.30
Knockdowns
0.20
167s
Control time
110s
Method
Decision
40%
KO/TKO
42%
Submission
18%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
Anthony Leone
0-0
Career record
Height
66"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
24
Blue corner
Josh LaBerge
0-0
Career record
Height
70"