Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Gian Villante
Chad Griggs
57%
43%
Why
76"
Reach
Δ 3"
73"
26
Age
Δ 7y
33
—
Current streak
W1
0
UFC fights in our DB
1
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Villante: 12 sig / 0 TD ·
Griggs: 25 sig / 0 TD
Gian Villante
Chad Griggs
21
Sig strikes landed
31
50
Sig strikes attempted
48
35
Total strikes landed
46
1.3
Takedowns landed
1.4
0.7
Takedowns attempted
3.0
0.30
Knockdowns
0.20
131s
Control time
144s
Method
Decision
16%
KO/TKO
66%
Submission
17%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
Gian Villante
0-0
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
26
Blue corner
W1
Chad Griggs
"The Grave Digger"
12-3
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33
In our database
1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W
Strikeforce - Houston
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