Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Ricardo Almeida
Mike Pyle
47%
53%
Why
74"
Reach
74"
34
Age
Δ 1y
36
14-5
Career record
Δ 9 pp
28-14-1
W1
Current streak
W2
3
UFC fights in our DB
3
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Almeida: 48 sig / 1 TD ·
Pyle: 36 sig / 1 TD
Ricardo Almeida
Mike Pyle
26
Sig strikes landed
25
58
Sig strikes attempted
54
49
Total strikes landed
47
2.2
Takedowns landed
1.2
6.5
Takedowns attempted
2.6
0.00
Knockdowns
0.20
271s
Control time
148s
Method
Decision
62%
KO/TKO
23%
Submission
15%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Ricardo Almeida
"Big Dog"
14-5
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
34
In our database
3 fights · 2-1
Last 3
W
UFC 124: St-Pierre vs Koscheck 2
—
L
UFC 117: Silva vs Sonnen
—
W
UFC 111: St-Pierre vs Hardy
—
Blue corner
W2
Mike Pyle
"Quicksand"
28-14-1
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
36
In our database
3 fights · 2-1
Last 3
W
UFC 120: Bisping vs Akiyama
—
W
UFC 115: Liddell vs Franklin
—
L
UFC 108: Evans vs Silva
—