Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Edson Barboza
Anthony Njokuani
77%
23%
Why
75"
Reach
Δ 0"
76"
25
Age
Δ 6y
31
W1
Current streak
—
1
UFC fights in our DB
0
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Barboza: 46 sig / 2 TD ·
Njokuani: 72 sig / 1 TD
Edson Barboza
Anthony Njokuani
41
Sig strikes landed
31
92
Sig strikes attempted
87
60
Total strikes landed
43
1.7
Takedowns landed
0.6
3.3
Takedowns attempted
1.9
0.50
Knockdowns
0.10
188s
Control time
86s
Method
Decision
41%
KO/TKO
40%
Submission
19%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Edson Barboza
"Junior"
25-14
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
75"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
25
In our database
1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W
UFC 123: Rampage vs Machida
—
Blue corner
Anthony Njokuani
"The Assassin"
0-0
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31