Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Luiz Cane
Eliot Marshall
69%
31%
Why
77"
Reach
77"
30
Age
Δ 1y
31
17-8
Career record
Δ 1 pp
10-5
L1
Current streak
L1
1
UFC fights in our DB
1
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Cane: 29 sig / 0 TD ·
Marshall: 2 sig / 0 TD
Luiz Cane
Eliot Marshall
36
Sig strikes landed
36
84
Sig strikes attempted
73
49
Total strikes landed
40
1.1
Takedowns landed
0.0
3.9
Takedowns attempted
2.2
0.30
Knockdowns
0.50
160s
Control time
13s
Method
Decision
46%
KO/TKO
47%
Submission
7%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Luiz Cane
"Banha"
17-8
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
77"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
30
In our database
1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L
UFC 114: Rampage vs Evans
—
Blue corner
L1
Eliot Marshall
"Fire"
10-5
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
77"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
In our database
1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L
UFC Live: Vera vs Jones
—