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Jim Miller vs Kamal Shalorus

UFC 128: Shogun vs Jones ·Prudential Center

Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Jim Miller
Kamal Shalorus
93% 7%
Why
71"
Reach
Δ 3"
68"
28
Age
Δ 11y
39
W4
Current streak
4
UFC fights in our DB
0

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 3
Miller: 43 sig / 1 TD · Shalorus: 26 sig / 1 TD
Jim Miller
Kamal Shalorus
35
Sig strikes landed
18
82
Sig strikes attempted
42
49
Total strikes landed
28
1.0
Takedowns landed
0.3
2.0
Takedowns attempted
1.4
0.40
Knockdowns
0.10
137s
Control time
70s
Method
Decision
26%
KO/TKO
43%
Submission
31%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
W4

Jim Miller

"A-10"
40-19 (1 NC)
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
71"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
28
In our database 4 fights · 4-0
Last 4
W UFC 124: St-Pierre vs Koscheck 2
W UFC Fight Night: Marquardt vs P…
W UFC 111: St-Pierre vs Hardy
W UFC 108: Evans vs Silva
Blue corner

Kamal Shalorus

"Prince of Persia"
0-0
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
68"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
39