Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Urijah Faber
Eddie Wineland
83%
17%
Why
67"
Reach
Δ 2"
69"
32
Age
Δ 5y
27
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Faber: 49 sig / 2 TD ·
Wineland: 11 sig / 1 TD
Urijah Faber
Eddie Wineland
36
Sig strikes landed
37
82
Sig strikes attempted
83
51
Total strikes landed
52
1.2
Takedowns landed
0.8
2.6
Takedowns attempted
1.7
0.20
Knockdowns
0.40
152s
Control time
118s
Method
Decision
44%
KO/TKO
36%
Submission
20%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
Urijah Faber
"The California Kid"
0-0
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
67"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
Blue corner
Eddie Wineland
0-0
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
69"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27