Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
James Terry
Lucas Gamaza
78%
22%
Why
W1
Current streak
—
2
UFC fights in our DB
0
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Terry: 24 sig / 0 TD ·
Gamaza: 26 sig / 0 TD
James Terry
Lucas Gamaza
56
Sig strikes landed
50
150
Sig strikes attempted
141
68
Total strikes landed
64
0.9
Takedowns landed
3.0
2.2
Takedowns attempted
5.4
0.40
Knockdowns
0.30
95s
Control time
95s
Method
Decision
41%
KO/TKO
24%
Submission
34%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
James Terry
"Intensity"
20-9
Career record
Height
70"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database
2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
W
Strikeforce - Diaz vs. Noons 2
—
L
Strikeforce Challengers 6
—
Blue corner
Lucas Gamaza
0-0
Career record