Back to Strikeforce - Diaz vs. Cyborg
Women's Bantamweight

Germaine de Randamie vs Stephanie Webber

Strikeforce - Diaz vs. Cyborg ·SAP Center at San Jose
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Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Germaine de Randamie
Stephanie Webber
85% 15%

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
de Randamie: 17 sig / 0 TD · Webber: 4 sig / 2 TD
Germaine de Randamie
Stephanie Webber
46
Sig strikes landed
42
97
Sig strikes attempted
85
79
Total strikes landed
65
0.9
Takedowns landed
1.3
1.3
Takedowns attempted
2.5
0.30
Knockdowns
0.10
172s
Control time
166s
Method
Decision
48%
KO/TKO
33%
Submission
20%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner

Germaine de Randamie

"The Iron Lady"
0-0
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27
Blue corner

Stephanie Webber

0-0
Career record
Height
66"