Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Bobby Stack
Isaiah Hill
88%
12%
Why
W1
Current streak
—
1
UFC fights in our DB
0
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Submission · Round 1
Stack: 1 sig / 1 TD ·
Hill: 5 sig / 0 TD
Bobby Stack
Isaiah Hill
46
Sig strikes landed
35
104
Sig strikes attempted
99
60
Total strikes landed
37
1.1
Takedowns landed
1.0
1.9
Takedowns attempted
1.6
0.30
Knockdowns
0.10
154s
Control time
123s
Method
Decision
38%
KO/TKO
43%
Submission
18%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Bobby Stack
9-3
Career record
Height
69"
Stance
Orthodox
In our database
1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W
Strikeforce - Fedor vs. Werdum
—
Blue corner
Isaiah Hill
0-0
Career record
Height
70"