Statlab take
baseline
Toss-up
Confidence: High
Nick Ring
Riki Fukuda
48%
52%
Why
74"
Reach
Δ 1"
73"
32
Age
Δ 2y
30
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Ring: 41 sig / 0 TD ·
Fukuda: 28 sig / 6 TD
Nick Ring
Riki Fukuda
34
Sig strikes landed
40
78
Sig strikes attempted
84
48
Total strikes landed
55
0.9
Takedowns landed
1.0
2.4
Takedowns attempted
2.4
0.20
Knockdowns
0.40
111s
Control time
120s
Method
Decision
42%
KO/TKO
45%
Submission
13%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
Nick Ring
"The Promise"
0-0
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
74"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
32
Blue corner
Riki Fukuda
0-0
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
73"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
30