Back to UFC 127: Penn vs Fitch
Prelims2 Light Heavyweight

Tom Blackledge vs Anthony Perosh

UFC 127: Penn vs Fitch ·Qudos Bank Arena
Previous fight Next fight

Statlab take

baseline
Toss-up Confidence: High
Tom Blackledge
Anthony Perosh
50% 50%
Why
—
Current streak
L1
0
UFC fights in our DB
1

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Submission · Round 1
Blackledge: 8 sig / 0 TD · Perosh: 7 sig / 1 TD
Tom Blackledge
Anthony Perosh
36
Sig strikes landed
26
65
Sig strikes attempted
62
49
Total strikes landed
42
0.4
Takedowns landed
1.2
1.3
Takedowns attempted
2.6
0.30
Knockdowns
0.20
74s
Control time
128s
Method
Decision
38%
KO/TKO
49%
Submission
14%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner

Tom Blackledge

0-0
Career record
Stance
Orthodox
Blue corner
L1

Anthony Perosh

"The Hippo"
15-11
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
75"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
38
In our database 1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L UFC 110: Nogueira vs Velasquez
—