Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
George Sotiropoulos
Dennis Siver
47%
53%
Why
71"
Reach
Δ 1"
70"
34
Age
Δ 2y
32
15-7
Career record
Δ 0 pp
24-11
W3
Current streak
W2
3
UFC fights in our DB
3
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Sotiropoulos: 38 sig / 0 TD ·
Siver: 74 sig / 0 TD
George Sotiropoulos
Dennis Siver
34
Sig strikes landed
41
117
Sig strikes attempted
131
49
Total strikes landed
54
1.4
Takedowns landed
0.4
6.7
Takedowns attempted
1.7
0.10
Knockdowns
0.50
146s
Control time
36s
Method
Decision
63%
KO/TKO
30%
Submission
7%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W3
George Sotiropoulos
15-7
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
34
In our database
3 fights · 3-0
Last 3
W
UFC 123: Rampage vs Machida
—
W
UFC 116: Lesnar vs Carwin
—
W
UFC 110: Nogueira vs Velasquez
—
Blue corner
W2
Dennis Siver
24-11
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
70"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database
3 fights · 2-1
Last 3
W
UFC 122: Marquardt vs Okami
—
W
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Lidd…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Florian vs Gomi
—