Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Michael Bisping
Jorge Rivera
80%
20%
Why
76"
Reach
Δ 2"
73"
32
Age
Δ 7y
39
31-9
Career record
Δ 8 pp
21-9
W2
Current streak
W1
3
UFC fights in our DB
1
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 2
Bisping: 50 sig / 3 TD ·
Rivera: 8 sig / 0 TD
Michael Bisping
Jorge Rivera
57
Sig strikes landed
48
157
Sig strikes attempted
135
59
Total strikes landed
50
0.7
Takedowns landed
0.7
3.2
Takedowns attempted
3.2
0.40
Knockdowns
0.10
35s
Control time
61s
Method
Decision
24%
KO/TKO
69%
Submission
7%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W2
Michael Bisping
"The Count"
31-9
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database
3 fights · 2-1
Last 3
W
UFC 120: Bisping vs Akiyama
—
W
UFC 114: Rampage vs Evans
—
L
UFC 110: Nogueira vs Velasquez
—
Blue corner
W1
Jorge Rivera
"El Conquistador"
21-9
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
39
In our database
1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W
UFC Fight Night: Florian vs Gomi
—