Light Heavyweight
Kyle Kingsbury vs Ricardo Romero
UFC 126: Silva vs Belfort
·Mandalay Bay Events Center
Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Kyle Kingsbury
Ricardo Romero
58%
42%
Why
79"
Reach
Δ 3"
76"
29
Age
Δ 4y
33
12-6
Career record
Δ 13 pp
12-3
W1
Current streak
W1
1
UFC fights in our DB
1
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Kingsbury: 9 sig / 0 TD ·
Romero: 1 sig / 0 TD
Kyle Kingsbury
Ricardo Romero
29
Sig strikes landed
34
82
Sig strikes attempted
81
54
Total strikes landed
61
1.8
Takedowns landed
2.3
2.0
Takedowns attempted
7.3
0.10
Knockdowns
0.20
162s
Control time
182s
Method
Decision
43%
KO/TKO
31%
Submission
25%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Kyle Kingsbury
"Kingsbu"
12-6
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
76"
Reach
79"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
In our database
1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W
UFC Fight Night: Marquardt vs P…
—
Blue corner
W1
Ricardo Romero
12-3
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33
In our database
1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W
UFC 116: Lesnar vs Carwin
—