Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Paul Taylor
Gabe Ruediger
58%
42%
Why
31
Age
Δ 2y
33
11-7-1
Career record
Δ 9 pp
18-9
L1
Current streak
L1
1
UFC fights in our DB
1
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 2
Taylor: 37 sig / 0 TD ·
Ruediger: 17 sig / 0 TD
Paul Taylor
Gabe Ruediger
25
Sig strikes landed
82
83
Sig strikes attempted
163
84
Total strikes landed
94
1.2
Takedowns landed
1.7
2.1
Takedowns attempted
6.3
0.40
Knockdowns
0.40
137s
Control time
112s
Method
Decision
42%
KO/TKO
42%
Submission
16%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Paul Taylor
"Relentless"
11-7-1
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
In our database
1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L
UFC 121: Lesnar vs Velasquez
—
Blue corner
L1
Gabe Ruediger
"Godzilla"
18-9
Career record
Height
70"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33
In our database
1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L
UFC 118: Edgar vs Penn 2
—