Prelims2
Bantamweight
Norifumi Yamamoto vs Demetrious Johnson
UFC 126: Silva vs Belfort
·Mandalay Bay Events Center
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Norifumi Yamamoto
Demetrious Johnson
17%
83%
Why
66"
Reach
66"
34
Age
Δ 9y
24
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Yamamoto: 16 sig / 0 TD ·
Johnson: 38 sig / 10 TD
Norifumi Yamamoto
Demetrious Johnson
28
Sig strikes landed
39
67
Sig strikes attempted
79
44
Total strikes landed
58
1.0
Takedowns landed
1.4
2.2
Takedowns attempted
2.7
0.20
Knockdowns
0.40
115s
Control time
168s
Method
Decision
47%
KO/TKO
34%
Submission
19%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
Norifumi Yamamoto
"Kid"
0-0
Career record
Height
64"
Reach
66"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
34
Blue corner
Demetrious Johnson
"Mighty Mouse"
0-0
Career record
Height
63"
Reach
66"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
25