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Miguel Torres vs Antonio Banuelos

UFC 126: Silva vs Belfort ·Mandalay Bay Events Center
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Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Miguel Torres
Antonio Banuelos
96% 4%
Why
76"
Reach
Δ 13"
63"
30
Age
Δ 1y
31

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Torres: 73 sig / 0 TD · Banuelos: 10 sig / 0 TD
Miguel Torres
Antonio Banuelos
39
Sig strikes landed
31
83
Sig strikes attempted
65
50
Total strikes landed
46
1.0
Takedowns landed
1.6
1.5
Takedowns attempted
2.2
0.30
Knockdowns
0.30
128s
Control time
133s
Method
Decision
21%
KO/TKO
47%
Submission
32%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner

Miguel Torres

0-0
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
Blue corner

Antonio Banuelos

0-0
Career record
Height
65"
Reach
63"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31