Catch Weight
Jason Blackford vs Jeremy Boczulak
Strikeforce Challengers 13
·Nashville Municipal Auditorium
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Jason Blackford
Jeremy Boczulak
81%
19%
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Submission · Round 2
Jason Blackford
Jeremy Boczulak
39
Sig strikes landed
39
86
Sig strikes attempted
86
55
Total strikes landed
55
0.8
Takedowns landed
0.9
2.2
Takedowns attempted
2.2
0.30
Knockdowns
0.30
164s
Control time
164s
Method
Decision
37%
KO/TKO
38%
Submission
26%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
Jason Blackford
0-0
Career record
Blue corner
Jeremy Boczulak
0-0
Career record