Featherweight
Josh Jarvis vs Luke Sanders
Strikeforce Challengers 13
·Nashville Municipal Auditorium
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Josh Jarvis
Luke Sanders
68%
32%
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Josh Jarvis
Luke Sanders
39
Sig strikes landed
44
91
Sig strikes attempted
95
48
Total strikes landed
61
2.9
Takedowns landed
1.3
5.4
Takedowns attempted
1.9
0.30
Knockdowns
0.40
133s
Control time
150s
Method
Decision
36%
KO/TKO
37%
Submission
27%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
Josh Jarvis
0-0
Career record
Blue corner
Luke Sanders
"Cool Hand"
0-0
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
67"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
25