Women's Featherweight
Julia Budd vs Amanda Nunes
Strikeforce Challengers 13
·Nashville Municipal Auditorium
Statlab take
baseline
Toss-up
Confidence: High
Julia Budd
Amanda Nunes
49%
51%
Why
67"
Reach
Δ 2"
69"
28
Age
Δ 5y
23
W1
Current streak
—
1
UFC fights in our DB
0
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Budd: 3 sig / 0 TD ·
Nunes: 11 sig / 0 TD
Julia Budd
Amanda Nunes
41
Sig strikes landed
51
94
Sig strikes attempted
107
70
Total strikes landed
79
0.8
Takedowns landed
1.7
2.3
Takedowns attempted
2.3
0.20
Knockdowns
0.30
134s
Control time
215s
Method
Decision
52%
KO/TKO
28%
Submission
20%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Julia Budd
11-2
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
67"
Age
28
In our database
1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W
Strikeforce Challengers 11
—
Blue corner
Amanda Nunes
"The Lioness"
0-0
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
69"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
23