Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Daniel Cormier
Devin Cole
80%
20%
Why
32
Age
Δ 2y
34
W2
Current streak
—
2
UFC fights in our DB
0
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Cormier: 30 sig / 3 TD ·
Cole: 10 sig / 0 TD
Daniel Cormier
Devin Cole
28
Sig strikes landed
14
50
Sig strikes attempted
48
45
Total strikes landed
25
1.6
Takedowns landed
1.1
1.9
Takedowns attempted
1.3
0.50
Knockdowns
0.10
120s
Control time
77s
Method
Decision
24%
KO/TKO
57%
Submission
19%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W2
Daniel Cormier
"DC"
23-3
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database
2 fights · 2-0
Last 2
W
Strikeforce - Houston
—
W
Strikeforce Challengers 7
—
Blue corner
Devin Cole
0-0
Career record
Height
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
34